中國農產品出口邊際增長結構研究.pdf

1、II 華南農業(yè)大學 華南農業(yè)大學 學位論文原創(chuàng)性聲明 學位論文原創(chuàng)性聲明 本人鄭重聲明： 所呈交的學位論文是本人在導師的指導下獨立進行研究所取得的研究成果。 除了文中特別加以標注引用的內容外， 本論文不包含任何其他個人或集體已經發(fā)表或撰寫的作品成果。 對本文的研究做出重要貢獻的個人和集體， 均已在文中以明確方式標明。 本人完全意識到本聲明的法律結果由本人承擔。 作者簽名： 日期：

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4、 日期： 學科帶頭人簽名： 日期： IV A Study On Marginal Growth Structure of China's Agricultural Exports Wang Fucun (College of Economics & Management，South China Ag

5、ricultural University， Guangzhou 510642，China) Abstract:Since the 20th century, with the rapid development of China's foreign trade, agricultural exports have been expanding, especially after joining the WTO, China h

6、ad become the world's fifth largest exporter of agricultural products and the fourth largest agricultural trading nation, the value of agricultural exports up to $ 70.9 billion in 2014, but Chinese exports rely mainl

7、y on price advantage, with the rise in labor costs, the comparative advantage gradually weaken, Export trade conditions are deteriorating. China agricultural trade deficit has become the norm since 2004 How to make China

8、's agricultural exports continued to develop and increase trade benefits, need to optimize the structure of agricultural products export marginal growth. By Feenstra extension decomposition method and Hummels - Kleno

9、w decomposition methods respectively analyzes our country agricultural product export marginal growth characteristics of time series and cross section , and using the non-parametric kernel density estimation technique an

10、alysis dynamic evolution of distribution characteristics of China's agricultural export growth breadth, quantity, price, in order to accurately study the dynamic change process of agricultural products export margin

11、al growth structure. Further study on trade costs, the relative size of the economy, market access and other factors ?s influences of China's major export partners of marginal growth, and discuss how to improve the s

12、tructure of marginal growth. The results show that: China?s agricultural exports is increasing in the share of world market, and mainly is labor-intensive products , the export market is mainly concentrated in Japan, Kor

13、ea, Hong Kong, the United States, Germany, Malaysia and other regions. From China?s agricultural product export growth of sequence features，cross-sectional characteristics and evolution of dynamic distribution get a unan