電力市場(chǎng)環(huán)境下梯級(jí)水電廠報(bào)價(jià)策略研究.pdf

1、華北電力大學(xué)（保定）碩士學(xué)位論文電力市場(chǎng)環(huán)境下梯級(jí)水電廠報(bào)價(jià)策略研究姓名：王立晶申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：碩士專業(yè)：電力系統(tǒng)及其自動(dòng)化指導(dǎo)教師：劉觀起20081220華北電力人學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文摘要摘要隨著我國(guó)電力市場(chǎng)化進(jìn)程的加快和“廠網(wǎng)分開(kāi)，竟價(jià)上網(wǎng)“運(yùn)營(yíng)機(jī)制的實(shí)施，發(fā)電企業(yè)逐漸成為市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)的主體。在電力市場(chǎng)環(huán)境下，梯級(jí)水電廠如何參與市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)化發(fā)電生產(chǎn)過(guò)程，采取策略性報(bào)價(jià)實(shí)現(xiàn)發(fā)電利潤(rùn)最大化，成為其面臨的首要問(wèn)題。本文以電力市場(chǎng)出清電價(jià)預(yù)測(cè)、容量分配

2、和梯級(jí)水電廠竟價(jià)策略為主要內(nèi)容，進(jìn)行了以下幾方面的研究：采用粒子群優(yōu)化BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)方法預(yù)測(cè)市場(chǎng)出清電價(jià)，在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)發(fā)電廠基于預(yù)測(cè)市場(chǎng)出清價(jià)的競(jìng)價(jià)策略進(jìn)行分析。最后，對(duì)某梯級(jí)水電廠以收益最大為目標(biāo)進(jìn)行分析計(jì)算，得出了在竟價(jià)上網(wǎng)條件下的電量?jī)?yōu)化策略。關(guān)鍵詞：電力市場(chǎng)電價(jià)預(yù)測(cè)，投資組合理論，報(bào)價(jià)策略ABSTRACTWiththeaccelerationprocessofpowermarketablization，andtheimplemen

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